the early voters expressing their honest opinion, the late voters mostly voting the opposite of their honest opinion just because they decided that too much agreement is a bad thing
This is a misconstrual. The late voters are also expressing their honest opinion, it’s just that their honest opinion lies on a policy level rather than a raw stimulus-response level.
It’s at least as valid (and, I suspect, somewhat more valid) to have preferences of the form “this should be seen as somewhat better than that” than to have preferences of the form “I like this and dislike that.”
This is a misconstrual. The late voters are also expressing their honest opinion, it’s just that their honest opinion lies on a policy level rather than a raw stimulus-response level.
It’s at least as valid (and, I suspect, somewhat more valid) to have preferences of the form “this should be seen as somewhat better than that” than to have preferences of the form “I like this and dislike that.”