“The probability of these ideas occurring to an ancient person...”
In the ancient world it was very common to predict the imminent end of the world.
And in my own case, before ever having heard of the Doomsday argument, the argument occurred to me exactly in the context of thinking about the possible end of the world.
So it doesn’t seem particularly unlikely to occur to an ancient person.
That’s what I thought you meant. But Christianity has existed for less than 4% of humanity’s time, and what we ordinarily call “the ancient world” started 3000-6000 years earlier.
Double negatives exist to help hide what you’re saying. If it’s somewhat likely, show me a single clear example that predates Christianity. The story of Noah says such a flood will never happen again. The Kali Yuga was supposed to last more than 400000 years.
“The probability of these ideas occurring to an ancient person...”
In the ancient world it was very common to predict the imminent end of the world.
And in my own case, before ever having heard of the Doomsday argument, the argument occurred to me exactly in the context of thinking about the possible end of the world.
So it doesn’t seem particularly unlikely to occur to an ancient person.
How so?
See the Gospels for examples.
That’s what I thought you meant. But Christianity has existed for less than 4% of humanity’s time, and what we ordinarily call “the ancient world” started 3000-6000 years earlier.
On the other hand fear of and end of the world (as they knew it) seems to be not unlikely at any time.
Creating reference classes as small as you like is easy. But the predictive power diminishes accordingly...
Double negatives exist to help hide what you’re saying. If it’s somewhat likely, show me a single clear example that predates Christianity. The story of Noah says such a flood will never happen again. The Kali Yuga was supposed to last more than 400000 years.