Is this MIRI official position? Because, AFAIK that estimate was never retracted.
I don’t know what Anna’s current view is. (Edit: Anna has now given it.)
In general, there aren’t such things as “MIRI official positions,” there are just individual persons’ opinions at a given time. Asking for MIRI’s official position on a research question is like asking for CSAIL’s official opinion on AGI timelines. If there are “MIRI official positions,” I guess they’d be board-approved policies like our whistleblower policy or something.
I don’t know what Anna’s current view is. (Edit: Anna has now given it.)
In general, there aren’t such things as “MIRI official positions,” there are just individual persons’ opinions at a given time. Asking for MIRI’s official position on a research question is like asking for CSAIL’s official opinion on AGI timelines. If there are “MIRI official positions,” I guess they’d be board-approved policies like our whistleblower policy or something.
Thanks for the answer