Silicon Valley is exuberant. The feeling at Bay Area house parties is (even more than before) one of the singularity being imminent. Some remain skeptical though, rightfully pointing out that the post-scarcity software isn’t the same as post-scarcity everything, and that genuine “agency” in the long-horizon real-world planning sense hasn’t really arrived, and under the hood everything is still rigid LLM scaffolds or unreliable AI computer use agents.
I think I expect rigid LLM scaffolds and unreliable AI computer use agents to have smaller effects on the world than you do. Not sure how much smaller but the previous paragraph (starts with “By 2026...”) seems too bullish to me under those conditions.
I think I expect rigid LLM scaffolds and unreliable AI computer use agents to have smaller effects on the world than you do. Not sure how much smaller but the previous paragraph (starts with “By 2026...”) seems too bullish to me under those conditions.