Pretty sure there’s a typo here, it should say “Remain and Clinton”.
If you bet on Trump or on Leave at the available market prices, you made a great trade.
But, if you claimed that those sides were definitely going to win, that it was inevitable (e.g. the Scott Adams position) then you were more wrong than those who said the same thing about Leave and Clinton. This seems clear to me despite your side actually winning.
I didn’t understand what you were saying first time I read this, but I realise now you’re saying that they were the underdogs at the time, and that if you believed otherwise you were more off than if you believed they definitely couldn’t win, because ~30% is closer to 0% than to 100%.
This was a really fun read.
Pretty sure there’s a typo here, it should say “Remain and Clinton”.
I didn’t understand what you were saying first time I read this, but I realise now you’re saying that they were the underdogs at the time, and that if you believed otherwise you were more off than if you believed they definitely couldn’t win, because ~30% is closer to 0% than to 100%.
Yep, that’s a typo, I’ll fix in original.
Also, for grocery stores under the Impossible Burger section, is “set food” intended?