Indeed it did! I remember saying to someone (maybe Beth? I forget) that seeing that graph made me feel slightly relieved. When we started writing AI-2027, my median AGI arrival date was 2027; now it’s 2028. (Though most of the update happened for other reasons besides the METR graph)
Indeed it did! I remember saying to someone (maybe Beth? I forget) that seeing that graph made me feel slightly relieved. When we started writing AI-2027, my median AGI arrival date was 2027; now it’s 2028. (Though most of the update happened for other reasons besides the METR graph)