I agree, the net impact is definitely not the difference between these numbers.
Also I meant something more like P(doom|Anthropic builds AGI first).I don’t think people are imagining that the first AI company to achieve AGI will have an AGI monopoly forever. Instead some think it may have a large impact on what this technology is first used for and what expectations/regulations are built around it.
I agree, the net impact is definitely not the difference between these numbers.
Also I meant something more like P(doom|Anthropic builds AGI first).I don’t think people are imagining that the first AI company to achieve AGI will have an AGI monopoly forever. Instead some think it may have a large impact on what this technology is first used for and what expectations/regulations are built around it.