The funny thing is, I literally did a whole review+summary post of the Superforecasting literature and yet two years later I was using “outside view” to mean a whole bunch of not-particularly-related things! I think the applause light hypothesis is plausible.
The funny thing is, I literally did a whole review+summary post of the Superforecasting literature and yet two years later I was using “outside view” to mean a whole bunch of not-particularly-related things! I think the applause light hypothesis is plausible.