I think reading Tedlocks book about Superforcasting could help you because it talks about how his Superforcasters made their decisions and outperformed the CIA analysts.
References to books or other online resources or even somewhere else I should be posting this kind of question would all be gratefully received.
I think reading Tedlocks book about Superforcasting could help you because it talks about how his Superforcasters made their decisions and outperformed the CIA analysts.
How about http://stats.stackexchange.com/?
Thanks for the suggestion. Added to reading list and commented on the stats site.