I don’t necessarily disagree that these guesses are plausible, but I don’t think it’s possible to predict exactly what emulation world ends up looking like, and even your high level description of the dynamics looks very likely to be wrong.
The goal is to become one of the early emulations and shape the culture, regulations, technology etc. into a positive and stable form—or at least, into carefully chosen initial conditions.
My argument goes something like this: 1) throughout history, big differences in power have been a recipe for abuse; 2) uploading allows bigger power differences than ever existed before. It’s a big concern to me and I’m not sure we can “wing it”, it’s better to have a plan now.
I don’t find this sketch of an argument very convincing. Like, yes I agree we should have a plan, but by default if it looks like uploading is becoming practical a massive amount of intellectual labor will go into constructing a plan, and even now I can see various reasonable plans. Basically I feel like this is an isolated demand for rigor.
I don’t necessarily disagree that these guesses are plausible, but I don’t think it’s possible to predict exactly what emulation world ends up looking like, and even your high level description of the dynamics looks very likely to be wrong.
The goal is to become one of the early emulations and shape the culture, regulations, technology etc. into a positive and stable form—or at least, into carefully chosen initial conditions.
My argument goes something like this: 1) throughout history, big differences in power have been a recipe for abuse; 2) uploading allows bigger power differences than ever existed before. It’s a big concern to me and I’m not sure we can “wing it”, it’s better to have a plan now.
I don’t find this sketch of an argument very convincing. Like, yes I agree we should have a plan, but by default if it looks like uploading is becoming practical a massive amount of intellectual labor will go into constructing a plan, and even now I can see various reasonable plans. Basically I feel like this is an isolated demand for rigor.