I understand what you’re saying, we don’t have or want a prophet, and there are all kinds of things we believe that we wouldn’t want to canonize. However, there are a few things we all agree on right? Bayes Theorem + Gathering Data + certain rules of inference + …?
I suspect that there’s more variance than you imply in how (and whether) to apply those mathematical truths to non-trivial real-world agents and decisions. I’d be happy to be proven wrong—you can probably make a wiki page for a “near-universal rationalist beliefs” list.
Haha! I love your first line.
I understand what you’re saying, we don’t have or want a prophet, and there are all kinds of things we believe that we wouldn’t want to canonize. However, there are a few things we all agree on right? Bayes Theorem + Gathering Data + certain rules of inference + …?
I suspect that there’s more variance than you imply in how (and whether) to apply those mathematical truths to non-trivial real-world agents and decisions. I’d be happy to be proven wrong—you can probably make a wiki page for a “near-universal rationalist beliefs” list.