There is a bit of “and to assent to the proposed change, under that protocol, would be setting up the wrong system incentives in the world that was most probably the case.” which kind of implies that there might be a case where the wrong system incentives are not a serious enough downside to advice agaist it.
It might rely a lot in that a Keeper would not frivolously suicide to no effect. I don’t know what exactly people make think that Keepers are sane but the logic how the external circumstances would point to the person being insane is supposed to put the two in tension. And because “Keepers are sane” is so much more strongly believed it makes the update of “things are real bad” go from trivial to significant.
There is a bit of “and to assent to the proposed change, under that protocol, would be setting up the wrong system incentives in the world that was most probably the case.” which kind of implies that there might be a case where the wrong system incentives are not a serious enough downside to advice agaist it.
It might rely a lot in that a Keeper would not frivolously suicide to no effect. I don’t know what exactly people make think that Keepers are sane but the logic how the external circumstances would point to the person being insane is supposed to put the two in tension. And because “Keepers are sane” is so much more strongly believed it makes the update of “things are real bad” go from trivial to significant.