before I see the results, my guesses:
8%: EY (early in career)
18%: dude who first brought up superintelligence in that one paper, name not available in brain
15%: turing
20%: minsky or contemporary from the early ai capabilities work, before 1990
39%: all my guesses were wrong
result:
all my guesses were wrong; closest match “contemporary of minsky” but he wasn’t an early ai researcher himself
before I see the results, my guesses:
8%: EY (early in career)
18%: dude who first brought up superintelligence in that one paper, name not available in brain
15%: turing
20%: minsky or contemporary from the early ai capabilities work, before 1990
39%: all my guesses were wrong
result:
all my guesses were wrong; closest match “contemporary of minsky” but he wasn’t an early ai researcher himself