So, it pattern matches to the infamous doomsday clock, and the precision down to 1 second with no error bars implies the author skipped the basics in high school math. Instant loss of credibility.
Yeah, the fake precision is definitely silly, but I thought the ticking helped get across the underlying message (i.e. this timeline is most likely finite, and shorter than it may feel). This is more about that emotional reminder; Metaculus is obviously the best place for the full info, including crucial historical trends.
Maybe each time your refresh the page, the clock could draw a sample from the probability distribution on Metaculus to figure out when it’s counting down to.
So, it pattern matches to the infamous doomsday clock, and the precision down to 1 second with no error bars implies the author skipped the basics in high school math. Instant loss of credibility.
Yeah, the fake precision is definitely silly, but I thought the ticking helped get across the underlying message (i.e. this timeline is most likely finite, and shorter than it may feel). This is more about that emotional reminder; Metaculus is obviously the best place for the full info, including crucial historical trends.
Maybe each time your refresh the page, the clock could draw a sample from the probability distribution on Metaculus to figure out when it’s counting down to.
Ahem: