A reasonable approximation to work from is that no capabilities researcher takes superintelligence seriously by rationalist standards, otherwise they wouldn’t be a capabilities researcher (unless they’re exceptionally power-seeking).
Is that even a good power-seeking strategy? It seems like maybe if you can produce technical contributions to or play politics well enough to gain substantial leverage at an AGI lab, this could be a good play? But I’m kind of surprised if it’s the best strategy for most AGI-pilled power-seekers.
Maybe you mean it in a more mundane way—that they get paid a lot of money.
Is that even a good power-seeking strategy? It seems like maybe if you can produce technical contributions to or play politics well enough to gain substantial leverage at an AGI lab, this could be a good play? But I’m kind of surprised if it’s the best strategy for most AGI-pilled power-seekers.
Maybe you mean it in a more mundane way—that they get paid a lot of money.