The Cold War analogy is a bit hard to work with, mainly because the original Cold War was a specific state of paradigms that largely can’t repeat; we have computers everywhere, thriving international trade and growth, and more importantly, the original Cold War emerged out of the World War paradigm and was started with intent to use nuclear weapons for carpet bombing (this is where the word “WW3” came from), whereas we now have norms and decades of track record of nuclear brinkmanship and de-escalation (the Cold War was established largely due to everyone everywhere having zero experience with this).
It’s similar to expecting the World War paradigm to return, but not nearly as bad, since most people in power in governments and militaries today came of age during the original Cold War and can easily imagine their world becoming more like that again.
The Cold War analogy is a bit hard to work with, mainly because the original Cold War was a specific state of paradigms that largely can’t repeat; we have computers everywhere, thriving international trade and growth, and more importantly, the original Cold War emerged out of the World War paradigm and was started with intent to use nuclear weapons for carpet bombing (this is where the word “WW3” came from), whereas we now have norms and decades of track record of nuclear brinkmanship and de-escalation (the Cold War was established largely due to everyone everywhere having zero experience with this).
It’s similar to expecting the World War paradigm to return, but not nearly as bad, since most people in power in governments and militaries today came of age during the original Cold War and can easily imagine their world becoming more like that again.