# Jan Christian Refsgaard comments on Prediction and Calibration—Part 1

• I have not been consistent with my probability notation, I sometimes use upper case P and sometimes lower case p, in future posts I will try to use the same notation as Andrew Gelman, which is for things that are probabilities (numbers) such as and for distributions such as . However since this is my first post, I am afraid that ‘editing it’ will waist the moderators time as they will have to read it again to check for trolling, what is the proper course of action?

• I think it is best to try to edit it anyway. I think if you have already seen the post, it does not take that long to see that there isn’t a line added that is trolly. Also, you should do it for the sake of mathematical accuracy.

• Thanks, also thanks for pointing out that I had written a few places instead of , since everything is the bernoulli distribution I have changed everything to