The paper should have a formal model or calibration of some sort, working toward the conclusion of showing that the relevant risk is actually fairly high.
I doubt anyone has created this model yet, let alone published it in a journal. I guess that should be a first step 🤔. It seems very hard, since AGI would touch upon every domain.
The closest thing I can think of are the economic models based on hyperbolic growth. They predict a singularity, but don’t specify what will cause it.
I doubt anyone has created this model yet, let alone published it in a journal. I guess that should be a first step 🤔. It seems very hard, since AGI would touch upon every domain.
The closest thing I can think of are the economic models based on hyperbolic growth. They predict a singularity, but don’t specify what will cause it.