Can you gesture at what you are basing this guess on?
Ignore this if you are busy, but I was also wondering: Do you have any takes on “do people get fired over acting on beliefs about xrisk”, as opposed to “people getting fired over caring about xrisk”? And perhaps on “whether people would get fired over acting on xrisk beliefs, so they don’t act on them”? (Though this seems difficult to operationalise.)
as far as I’m aware, the only person who can be argued to have ever been fired for acting on beliefs about x risk is leopold, and the circumstances there are pretty complicated. since I don’t think he’s the only person to have ever acted on xrisk at oai to the extent he did, I don’t think this is just because other people don’t do anything about xrisk.
most cases of xrisk people leaving are just because people felt sidelined/unhappy and chose to leave. which is ofc also bad, but quite different.
I don’t think this is just because other people don’t do anything about xrisk.
Why is that? If someone went off and consistently worked on an agenda that was directly xrisk related (that didn’t contribute to a short term capabilities or product safety) you’re saying they wouldn’t get sidelined / not allocated resources / fired?
Can you gesture at what you are basing this guess on?
Ignore this if you are busy, but I was also wondering: Do you have any takes on “do people get fired over acting on beliefs about xrisk”, as opposed to “people getting fired over caring about xrisk”?
And perhaps on “whether people would get fired over acting on xrisk beliefs, so they don’t act on them”? (Though this seems difficult to operationalise.)
as far as I’m aware, the only person who can be argued to have ever been fired for acting on beliefs about x risk is leopold, and the circumstances there are pretty complicated. since I don’t think he’s the only person to have ever acted on xrisk at oai to the extent he did, I don’t think this is just because other people don’t do anything about xrisk.
most cases of xrisk people leaving are just because people felt sidelined/unhappy and chose to leave. which is ofc also bad, but quite different.
Why is that? If someone went off and consistently worked on an agenda that was directly xrisk related (that didn’t contribute to a short term capabilities or product safety) you’re saying they wouldn’t get sidelined / not allocated resources / fired?