It seems like your argument is that Causal Decision Theory leads to defection on prisoner dilema and you consider causal decision theory as an essential feature of being consequentialist.
The sequences advocate Timeless Decision Theory and later Functional Decision Theory was proposed to solve those problems. If you want to convince people on LessWrong that consquequentialism is flawed you likely need to make arguments that don’t just work against Causal Decision Theory but also Timeless Decision Theory and Functional Decision Theory.
It seems like your argument is that Causal Decision Theory leads to defection on prisoner dilema and you consider causal decision theory as an essential feature of being consequentialist.
The sequences advocate Timeless Decision Theory and later Functional Decision Theory was proposed to solve those problems. If you want to convince people on LessWrong that consquequentialism is flawed you likely need to make arguments that don’t just work against Causal Decision Theory but also Timeless Decision Theory and Functional Decision Theory.