I agree that the probability of seeing that exact sequence is low. Not sure why that’s a problem, though. For any particular random-looking sequence, Bob’s prior P(see this sequence | universe is simulated) is pretty much equal to P(see this sequence | universe is not simulated), so it shouldn’t make Bob update.
I agree that the probability of seeing that exact sequence is low. Not sure why that’s a problem, though. For any particular random-looking sequence, Bob’s prior P(see this sequence | universe is simulated) is pretty much equal to P(see this sequence | universe is not simulated), so it shouldn’t make Bob update.