Based on current trends fron https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/, this could already have happened by sometime between 2027 and 2030:
And this suggests 100x acceleration in research cycles if ideation + implementation were automated, and humans were relegated to doing peer reviewing of AI-published papers:
https://x.com/BogdanIonutCir2/status/1940100507932197217
Based on current trends fron https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/, this could already have happened by sometime between 2027 and 2030:
And this suggests 100x acceleration in research cycles if ideation + implementation were automated, and humans were relegated to doing peer reviewing of AI-published papers:
https://x.com/BogdanIonutCir2/status/1940100507932197217