try for as much international coordination as we can get.
(this is actually my main focus right now, I expect to pivot back towards intellectual-progress stuff once I feel like we’ve done all the obvious things for waking up the world)
try to make progress as fast as we can on the technical bits
probably, we don’t either as much coordination or technical progress as we want, but, like, try our best on both axes and hope it’s enough
I’m not sure whether you need literal geniuses, but, I do think you need a lot of raw talent for it to plausibly work. I’m uncertain if, like, say you need be “a level 8 researcher” to make nonzero progress on the core bottlenecks, is it possible to upgrade a level 6 or 7 person to level 8, or are level 8s basically born not made and the only hope is in finding internentions that bump 8s into 9s)
I frequently see people who seem genius-like who nonetheless are kinda metacognitively dumb and seem like there’s low hanging fruit there, so I feel like either world is tractable, but, they are pretty different.
My overall plan is:
try for as much international coordination as we can get.
(this is actually my main focus right now, I expect to pivot back towards intellectual-progress stuff once I feel like we’ve done all the obvious things for waking up the world)
try to make progress as fast as we can on the technical bits
probably, we don’t either as much coordination or technical progress as we want, but, like, try our best on both axes and hope it’s enough
I’m not sure whether you need literal geniuses, but, I do think you need a lot of raw talent for it to plausibly work. I’m uncertain if, like, say you need be “a level 8 researcher” to make nonzero progress on the core bottlenecks, is it possible to upgrade a level 6 or 7 person to level 8, or are level 8s basically born not made and the only hope is in finding internentions that bump 8s into 9s)
I frequently see people who seem genius-like who nonetheless are kinda metacognitively dumb and seem like there’s low hanging fruit there, so I feel like either world is tractable, but, they are pretty different.