I don’t think I can come up with numerical probabilities, but I consider “massively smarter than a human” and “unfriendly” to be the default values for those characteristics, and don’t expect the first AGI to differ from the default unless there is a massive deliberate effort to make it otherwise.
I don’t think I can come up with numerical probabilities, but I consider “massively smarter than a human” and “unfriendly” to be the default values for those characteristics, and don’t expect the first AGI to differ from the default unless there is a massive deliberate effort to make it otherwise.