What do you think a meaningful probability, if one can be assigned, would be for the first strong AI to exhibit both of those traits? (Not trying to “grill” you; I can’t even imagine a good order of magnitude to put on that probability)
I don’t think I can come up with numerical probabilities, but I consider “massively smarter than a human” and “unfriendly” to be the default values for those characteristics, and don’t expect the first AGI to differ from the default unless there is a massive deliberate effort to make it otherwise.
What do you think a meaningful probability, if one can be assigned, would be for the first strong AI to exhibit both of those traits? (Not trying to “grill” you; I can’t even imagine a good order of magnitude to put on that probability)
I don’t think I can come up with numerical probabilities, but I consider “massively smarter than a human” and “unfriendly” to be the default values for those characteristics, and don’t expect the first AGI to differ from the default unless there is a massive deliberate effort to make it otherwise.