In some sense, situation with SIA looks like as p-hacking: we select a hypothesis after we got the data.
But if we preselect uniqueness, any type of uniqueness works. For example, cells are numbered. Before the experiment, we choose the number 73. In that case, discovering that 73 was hit will be strong update for 100 attempts vs. only 10 attempts.
Yes! any characteristic works as long as it is preselected. But it needs to be actually selected or sampled.
Yet there is no sampling in anthropic problems. SIA assumes the first-person “I” (or “now”) is equivalent to a random sample. So it treats finding myself as the person who’s been created in room 73 the same way as if an external observer selected room 73 and finds someone exists in it. It is just an assumption that lacks any logical backing.
In some sense, situation with SIA looks like as p-hacking: we select a hypothesis after we got the data.
But if we preselect uniqueness, any type of uniqueness works. For example, cells are numbered. Before the experiment, we choose the number 73. In that case, discovering that 73 was hit will be strong update for 100 attempts vs. only 10 attempts.
Yes! any characteristic works as long as it is preselected. But it needs to be actually selected or sampled.
Yet there is no sampling in anthropic problems. SIA assumes the first-person “I” (or “now”) is equivalent to a random sample. So it treats finding myself as the person who’s been created in room 73 the same way as if an external observer selected room 73 and finds someone exists in it. It is just an assumption that lacks any logical backing.
The same can be said about SSA too.