I’m away from my laptop for a few days, but you’d make a stronger argument by applying Bayes Rules.
Sure, maybe you expect 1 coincidentally suspicious trade per year but that doesn’t mean this specific trade wasn’t insider trading.
I am not sure that all of the individuals with the opportunity to make this trade are rich.
Even if they did have more than $80k, they might not have felt they could safely access any more money without leaving a trail. I’d expect theres a chance that a large withdrawal from your personal bank account is noticed by an investigation.
I’m away from my laptop for a few days, but you’d make a stronger argument by applying Bayes Rules.
Sure, maybe you expect 1 coincidentally suspicious trade per year but that doesn’t mean this specific trade wasn’t insider trading.
I am not sure that all of the individuals with the opportunity to make this trade are rich.
Even if they did have more than $80k, they might not have felt they could safely access any more money without leaving a trail. I’d expect theres a chance that a large withdrawal from your personal bank account is noticed by an investigation.