What leapt out to me about your model was that is was very focused how an observer of the protests would react with a rationalist worldview. You didn’t seem to have given much thought to the breadth of social movements and how a diverse public would have experienced them. Like, most people aren’t gonna think PauseAI is anti-tech in general and therefore similar to the unabomber. Rationalists think that way, and few others.
I am confused, did you somehow accidentally forget a negation here? You can argue that Thane is confused, but clearly Thane was arguing from what the public believes, and of course Thane himself doesn’t think that PauseAI is similar to the Unabomber based on vague associations, and certainly almost nobody else on this site believes that (some might believe that non-rationalists believe that, but isn’t that exactly the kind of thinking you are asking for?).
I’m saying he’s projecting his biases onto others. He clearly does think PauseAI rhymes with unabomber somehow, even if he personally knows better. The weird pro-tech vs anti-tech dichotomy, and especially thinking that others are blanketly anti-tech, is very rationalist.
I am confused, did you somehow accidentally forget a negation here? You can argue that Thane is confused, but clearly Thane was arguing from what the public believes, and of course Thane himself doesn’t think that PauseAI is similar to the Unabomber based on vague associations, and certainly almost nobody else on this site believes that (some might believe that non-rationalists believe that, but isn’t that exactly the kind of thinking you are asking for?).
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I’m saying he’s projecting his biases onto others. He clearly does think PauseAI rhymes with unabomber somehow, even if he personally knows better. The weird pro-tech vs anti-tech dichotomy, and especially thinking that others are blanketly anti-tech, is very rationalist.