I feel like your predictions for 2022 are just a touch over the mark, no? GPT-3 isn’t really ‘obsolete’ yet or is that wrong?
I’m sure it will be in a minute, but I’d probably update that benchmark to probably occurring mid 2023, or potentially whenever GPT-4 gets released.
I really feel like you should be updating slightly longer, but maybe I misunderstand where we’re at right now with chatbots. I would love to hear otherwise.
In some sense it’s definitely obsolete, namely, theres pretty much no reason to use original GPT-3 anymore. Also, up until recently there was public confusion because a lot of the stuff people attributed to GPT-3 was really GPT-3.5, so original GPT-3 is probably a bit worse than you think. Idk, play around with the models and then decide for yourself whether the difference is big enough to count as obsolete.
I do think it’s reasonable to interpret my original prediction as being more bullish on this matter than what actually transpired. In fact I’ll just come out and admit that when I wrote the story I expected the models of december 2022 to be somewhat better than what’s actually publicly available now.
I think that yes it is reasonable to say that GPT-3 is obsolete. Also, you mentioned loads AGI startups being created in 2023 while it already happened a lot in 2022. How many more AGI startups do you expect in 2023?
I feel like your predictions for 2022 are just a touch over the mark, no? GPT-3 isn’t really ‘obsolete’ yet or is that wrong?
I’m sure it will be in a minute, but I’d probably update that benchmark to probably occurring mid 2023, or potentially whenever GPT-4 gets released.
I really feel like you should be updating slightly longer, but maybe I misunderstand where we’re at right now with chatbots. I would love to hear otherwise.
In some sense it’s definitely obsolete, namely, theres pretty much no reason to use original GPT-3 anymore. Also, up until recently there was public confusion because a lot of the stuff people attributed to GPT-3 was really GPT-3.5, so original GPT-3 is probably a bit worse than you think. Idk, play around with the models and then decide for yourself whether the difference is big enough to count as obsolete.
I do think it’s reasonable to interpret my original prediction as being more bullish on this matter than what actually transpired. In fact I’ll just come out and admit that when I wrote the story I expected the models of december 2022 to be somewhat better than what’s actually publicly available now.
I think that yes it is reasonable to say that GPT-3 is obsolete.
Also, you mentioned loads AGI startups being created in 2023 while it already happened a lot in 2022. How many more AGI startups do you expect in 2023?