I think you missed the point, a hope for something can be more or less bayes optimal, the fact that you’re able to isolate a hypothesis in the total space of hypothesis after much prior evidence and research is itself a strong evidence to consider it seriously. Like yes the scientist feels that way, but that doesn’t change the fact that science progresses, and scientists regularly hit the mark, in updating their beliefs.
I think you missed the point, a hope for something can be more or less bayes optimal, the fact that you’re able to isolate a hypothesis in the total space of hypothesis after much prior evidence and research is itself a strong evidence to consider it seriously. Like yes the scientist feels that way, but that doesn’t change the fact that science progresses, and scientists regularly hit the mark, in updating their beliefs.
I see, I stand corrected then.