I do not think that Noosphere’s comment did not contain an argument. The rest of the comment after the passage you cited tries to lay out a model for why continual learning and long-term memory might be the only remaining bottlenecks. Perhaps you think that this argument is very bad, but it is an argument, and I did not think that your reply to it was helpful for the discussion.
@Lucius Bushnaq It’s not too combative, you’re wrong. My previous comment laid out what’s wrong with the reasoning. Then Noosphere89 wrote a big long comment that makes all the same lines of reasoning, still without giving any arguments. This is really bad epistemics, and people going around vibing hard about this have been poisoning (or rather, hijacking https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dAz45ggdbeudKAXiF/a-regime-change-power-vacuum-conjecture-about-group-belief) the discourse for 5 years.
I do not think that Noosphere’s comment did not contain an argument. The rest of the comment after the passage you cited tries to lay out a model for why continual learning and long-term memory might be the only remaining bottlenecks. Perhaps you think that this argument is very bad, but it is an argument, and I did not think that your reply to it was helpful for the discussion.