This is super fun! Thanks for putting it together.
It seems pretty unlikely that there should be two things on the list at bigness 9 (one of the most important discoveries of all time), and 6 at 8 (tech of the century) from a single year. Especially since the p(generalizes) is around .6 for a bunch of them. I feel like you might be systematically biased upwards in size of impact at least at the top end.
Fair. I don’t doubt there is some bias, but I think most of the rest is blameless correlation (ribose and fast LUCA are the same event) and hiding behind the conditional (IF true, and they won’t all be).
This is super fun! Thanks for putting it together.
It seems pretty unlikely that there should be two things on the list at bigness 9 (one of the most important discoveries of all time), and 6 at 8 (tech of the century) from a single year. Especially since the p(generalizes) is around .6 for a bunch of them. I feel like you might be systematically biased upwards in size of impact at least at the top end.
Fair. I don’t doubt there is some bias, but I think most of the rest is blameless correlation (ribose and fast LUCA are the same event) and hiding behind the conditional (IF true, and they won’t all be).