Without context, I can’t tell whether he was trying to say the chances were high, low, extraordinarily different, or slightly different.
Chance of snow 40% and chance of Republican win 45% satisfies the quote.
I would have guessed more like 20% and 45%, but the point was that he was unlucky, not miscalibrated.
Without context, I can’t tell whether he was trying to say the chances were high, low, extraordinarily different, or slightly different.
Chance of snow 40% and chance of Republican win 45% satisfies the quote.
I would have guessed more like 20% and 45%, but the point was that he was unlucky, not miscalibrated.