As another note: my biggest problem with talking about P(doom) is that it’s ambiguous between various different events like AI takeover, human extinction, human extinction due to AI takeover, the loss of all value in the future, and it seems pretty important to separate these out because I think the numbers are pretty different.
As another note: my biggest problem with talking about P(doom) is that it’s ambiguous between various different events like AI takeover, human extinction, human extinction due to AI takeover, the loss of all value in the future, and it seems pretty important to separate these out because I think the numbers are pretty different.