4 - I am setup for cryonics, and I do not ‘believe’ in ‘eternal life’. 1) Even if cryonics works, I am very unlikely to live forever; forever is a long time. I would probably live a long time though, and that sounds better than not. 2) I don’t think cryonics is very likely to work, but it has a high payoff and it’s not absurdly expensive, so it makes sense even if it has a (say) 5% chance of working.
9 - ‘believing’ in the singularity (I hate that word, but I am using it to refer to the time when an intelligence explosion (rapidly self improving intelligence) takes place) is more like Native Americans believing in European settlers after Columbus arrived. Big changes are coming. They might be good or they might be bad, but they’re coming, and you’d like to try to make them good.
This is an example of not being aware that your beliefs are beliefs. Where is the evidence of an intelligence explosion? Where is the AI that can pass a Turing test, leaving alone a strong AI doing so? Are you aware that AI is like Fusion in that it is always some 20 years in the future and has been for much more than 20 years?
4 - I am setup for cryonics, and I do not ‘believe’ in ‘eternal life’. 1) Even if cryonics works, I am very unlikely to live forever; forever is a long time. I would probably live a long time though, and that sounds better than not. 2) I don’t think cryonics is very likely to work, but it has a high payoff and it’s not absurdly expensive, so it makes sense even if it has a (say) 5% chance of working.
9 - ‘believing’ in the singularity (I hate that word, but I am using it to refer to the time when an intelligence explosion (rapidly self improving intelligence) takes place) is more like Native Americans believing in European settlers after Columbus arrived. Big changes are coming. They might be good or they might be bad, but they’re coming, and you’d like to try to make them good.
This is an example of not being aware that your beliefs are beliefs. Where is the evidence of an intelligence explosion? Where is the AI that can pass a Turing test, leaving alone a strong AI doing so? Are you aware that AI is like Fusion in that it is always some 20 years in the future and has been for much more than 20 years?