See the Low Self-Confidence section for why I think a depressed person can feel certain they’ll fail despite an inability to create hypotheses with strong predictions.
Note that a “feeling / judgment of certainty about something in the everyday sense” is not exactly the same as the “certainty of a particular top-down prediction of a particular hypothesis (generative model) in the predictive coding brain”. The former also involves things like the availability heuristic, process of elimination (I’ll fail because I can’t imagine succeeding), etc.
Does that answer your question? Do you think that makes sense?
The predictive coding cartoon at the top of the post has the section “Predicts that my innate drives will be satisfied”. Intuitively none of the hypothesis/plans scoring highly on that metric could cause some form of ‘unhappiness’.
See the Low Self-Confidence section for why I think a depressed person can feel certain they’ll fail despite an inability to create hypotheses with strong predictions.
Note that a “feeling / judgment of certainty about something in the everyday sense” is not exactly the same as the “certainty of a particular top-down prediction of a particular hypothesis (generative model) in the predictive coding brain”. The former also involves things like the availability heuristic, process of elimination (I’ll fail because I can’t imagine succeeding), etc.
Does that answer your question? Do you think that makes sense?
The predictive coding cartoon at the top of the post has the section “Predicts that my innate drives will be satisfied”. Intuitively none of the hypothesis/plans scoring highly on that metric could cause some form of ‘unhappiness’.
I basically agree with that. See the section “Feelings of sadness, worthlessness, self-hatred, etc.”