Certainty (confidence, etc.) is in the mind. Fallibility isn’t; you can be prone (or immune) to error even if no one thinks you are.
The point is that ‘What if I couldn’t be wrong about it?’ does not express ‘What if I could be certain that I couldn’t be wrong about it?’; the latter requires that 1 be a probability, but the former does not, since I might be unable to be wrong about X and yet only assign, say, a .8 probability to X’s being true (because I don’t assign probability 1 to my own infallibility).
Certainty (confidence, etc.) is in the mind. Fallibility isn’t; you can be prone (or immune) to error even if no one thinks you are.
Though no one could ever possibly know. Seriously: fallibility is in the mind. It’s a measure of how likely something is to fail; likelihoods are probabilities—and probabilities are (best thought of as being) in the mind.
Fallibility is in the mind.
Certainty (confidence, etc.) is in the mind. Fallibility isn’t; you can be prone (or immune) to error even if no one thinks you are.
The point is that ‘What if I couldn’t be wrong about it?’ does not express ‘What if I could be certain that I couldn’t be wrong about it?’; the latter requires that 1 be a probability, but the former does not, since I might be unable to be wrong about X and yet only assign, say, a .8 probability to X’s being true (because I don’t assign probability 1 to my own infallibility).
Though no one could ever possibly know. Seriously: fallibility is in the mind. It’s a measure of how likely something is to fail; likelihoods are probabilities—and probabilities are (best thought of as being) in the mind.