Here’s a fun related hypothetical. Let’s say you’re a mid-career software engineer making $250k TC right now. In a world with no AI progress you plausibly have $5m+ career earnings still coming. In a world with AGI, maybe <$1m. Would you take a deal where you sell all your future earnings for, say, $2.5m right now?
(me: no, but I might consider selling a portion of future earnings in such a deal as a hedge)
Is there any way to make this kind of trade? Arguably a mortgage is kind of like this, but you have to pay that back unless the government steps in when everyone loses their jobs...
Here’s a fun related hypothetical. Let’s say you’re a mid-career software engineer making $250k TC right now. In a world with no AI progress you plausibly have $5m+ career earnings still coming. In a world with AGI, maybe <$1m. Would you take a deal where you sell all your future earnings for, say, $2.5m right now?
(me: no, but I might consider selling a portion of future earnings in such a deal as a hedge)
Is there any way to make this kind of trade? Arguably a mortgage is kind of like this, but you have to pay that back unless the government steps in when everyone loses their jobs...