It is clear that once AI is better than humans at inventing things, we will have made the final and most important invention in human history. That is the “finish line” for human innovation and human thought; we will have created a machine that can automate any task for us, including the task of automating new tasks. However, for the last decade, many AI experts have been saying that it will take a really long time before AI is advanced enough to independently make itself smarter.
The last two years of increasingly rapid AI development have called that into question. We have no idea how fast AI technology will advance, or how far we have to go before we can build AI that is smarter than humans. The finish line could be less than a decade away, and we won’t know exactly when it can be invented until after it is invented, which might be too late.
It is clear that once AI is better than humans at inventing things, we will have made the final and most important invention in human history. That is the “finish line” for human innovation and human thought; we will have created a machine that can automate any task for us, including the task of automating new tasks. However, for the last decade, many AI experts have been saying that it will take a really long time before AI is advanced enough to independently make itself smarter.
The last two years of increasingly rapid AI development have called that into question. We have no idea how fast AI technology will advance, or how far we have to go before we can build AI that is smarter than humans. The finish line could be less than a decade away, and we won’t know exactly when it can be invented until after it is invented, which might be too late.