Suppose there are four possibilities you’re uncertain between: A, B, C, and D. A implies X, B implies X, C implies X, and D implies X. So if A/B/C/D genuinely exhaust the options, then we can conclude X without needing to know which of the four is correct.
A simple concrete example might be: ‘When I’m in wishful-thinking Abstract Mode, I imagine that one of my siblings will take out the trash today. But when I actually think about each individual sibling, I remember that Alice is sleeping over at a friend’s house today, and Bob never takes out the trash, and Carol is really busy with her class project, and...’
Thanks. Then I think what people have trouble with is constraining the space of options and not update itself, and I don’t see what’s the point of fraiming it like this.
Suppose there are four possibilities you’re uncertain between: A, B, C, and D. A implies X, B implies X, C implies X, and D implies X. So if A/B/C/D genuinely exhaust the options, then we can conclude X without needing to know which of the four is correct.
A simple concrete example might be: ‘When I’m in wishful-thinking Abstract Mode, I imagine that one of my siblings will take out the trash today. But when I actually think about each individual sibling, I remember that Alice is sleeping over at a friend’s house today, and Bob never takes out the trash, and Carol is really busy with her class project, and...’
Thanks. Then I think what people have trouble with is constraining the space of options and not update itself, and I don’t see what’s the point of fraiming it like this.