I wonder why we can assume that everyone gets a longer life. Despite a whole section on “distribution” the math is always that everyone has a longer life. But is this probable? Likely? Possible? So many things seem to stand in the way:
Differential access to post-AGI medical advances,
Elite capture of life-extension technologies,
National or geopolitical exclusion,
Class stratification in longevity,
Delayed diffusion of therapies,
Political economy of distribution.
It would be reasonable—or at least equivalent—to suggest that the only people who live 1400 years are the billionaires. 3,000 people. Making the math work out to an average life expectancy of 40.00005 years. Do we still want to risk it all?
I wonder why we can assume that everyone gets a longer life. Despite a whole section on “distribution” the math is always that everyone has a longer life. But is this probable? Likely? Possible? So many things seem to stand in the way:
Differential access to post-AGI medical advances,
Elite capture of life-extension technologies,
National or geopolitical exclusion,
Class stratification in longevity,
Delayed diffusion of therapies,
Political economy of distribution.
It would be reasonable—or at least equivalent—to suggest that the only people who live 1400 years are the billionaires. 3,000 people. Making the math work out to an average life expectancy of 40.00005 years. Do we still want to risk it all?