Eric Neyman

Karma: 6,068

I work at the Alignment Research Center (ARC). I write a blog on stuff I’m interested in (such as math, philosophy, puzzles, statistics, and elections): https://ericneyman.wordpress.com/

Mechanistic estimation for expectations of random products

Jacob_Hilton, George Robinson, Eric Neyman, paulfchristiano, Mikewins, Victor Lecomte, Wilson Wu and Gabriel Wu

15 May 2026 16:50 UTC

50 points

0 comments5 min readLW link

(www.alignment.org)

Update on the Alex Bores campaign

Eric Neyman27 Apr 2026 16:51 UTC

229 points

12 comments4 min readLW link

SB 53 and RAISE implementation roles

Eric Neyman27 Mar 2026 20:04 UTC

22 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

ARC progress update: Competing with sampling

Eric Neyman, Victor Lecomte, Wilson Wu, Mikewins, Jacob_Hilton and George Robinson

18 Nov 2025 17:22 UTC

131 points

11 comments21 min readLW link

Consider donating to AI safety champion Scott Wiener

Eric Neyman22 Oct 2025 18:40 UTC

134 points

9 comments18 min readLW link

(ericneyman.wordpress.com)

Consider donating to Alex Bores, author of the RAISE Act

Eric Neyman20 Oct 2025 14:50 UTC

277 points

20 comments19 min readLW link

(ericneyman.wordpress.com)

Balancing exploration and resistance to memetic threats after AGI

Eric Neyman7 Aug 2025 18:03 UTC

26 points

5 comments5 min readLW link

Will Jesus Christ return in an election year?

Eric Neyman24 Mar 2025 16:50 UTC

427 points

59 comments4 min readLW link

(ericneyman.wordpress.com)

A computational no-coincidence principle

Eric Neyman14 Feb 2025 21:39 UTC

151 points

40 comments6 min readLW link

(www.alignment.org)

[Question] Which things were you surprised to learn are not metaphors?

Eric Neyman21 Nov 2024 18:56 UTC

146 points

99 comments1 min readLW link

Seven lessons I didn’t learn from election day

Eric Neyman14 Nov 2024 18:39 UTC

99 points

33 comments13 min readLW link

(ericneyman.wordpress.com)

Research update: Towards a Law of Iterated Expectations for Heuristic Estimators

Eric Neyman7 Oct 2024 19:29 UTC

87 points

2 comments22 min readLW link

[Question] Implications of China’s recession on AGI development?

Eric Neyman28 Sep 2024 1:12 UTC

41 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

My thesis (Algorithmic Bayesian Epistemology) explained in more depth

Eric Neyman9 May 2024 19:43 UTC

82 points

4 comments27 min readLW link

(ericneyman.wordpress.com)

My hour of memoryless lucidity

Eric Neyman4 May 2024 1:40 UTC

381 points

38 comments5 min readLW link 1 review

(ericneyman.wordpress.com)

Eric Neyman’s Shortform

Eric Neyman25 Apr 2024 5:58 UTC

8 points

178 comments1 min readLW link

My PhD thesis: Algorithmic Bayesian Epistemology

Eric Neyman16 Mar 2024 22:56 UTC

262 points

14 comments7 min readLW link

(arxiv.org)

How much do you believe your results?

Eric Neyman6 May 2023 20:31 UTC

524 points

18 comments15 min readLW link 4 reviews

(ericneyman.wordpress.com)

[Crosspost] ACX 2022 Prediction Contest Results

Scott Alexander, Eric Neyman and Sam Marks

24 Jan 2023 6:56 UTC

48 points

6 comments8 min readLW link

Solving for the optimal work-life balance with geometric rationality

Eric Neyman28 Nov 2022 17:02 UTC

23 points

1 comment8 min readLW link