There is a possibility of self-reinforcing negative cycle: models don’t show rapid capabilities improvement → investors halt pouring money into AI sector → AI labs focus on cutting costs → models don’t show rapid capabilities improvement.
Polar
Karma: 11
From an individual person perspective, less authoritarian ASI is better. “Authoritarian” measure here means the degree it allows itself to restrict your freedoms.
The implicit assumption here as I understand it is that Chinese ASI would be more authoritarian than US. It may not be a correct assumption, as US has proven to commit fairly heinous things to domestic (spying on) and foreign (mass murdering) citizens.