I got –17 karma for this post! I understand people disagree, but it is a good faith post. Now my account is restricted because of the negative karma
Oscar Davies
Karma: −28
True, I didn’t include my review of the other article they reference in that last sentence (https://arxiv.org/pdf/2210.11610). That article also contains no evidence to support their claims. I’ll have my full review of AI 2027 finished in a few weeks.
Even granting what you said about the gap between the first and last sentence, the sentence in which the article is referenced is: “Self-improvement for general intelligence had seen minor successes before.”
The report referenced clearly has nothing to do with “general intelligence”: they test the model on 5 narrow algorithmic tasks. And they explicitly and repeatedly say that they have provided no evidence for the model’s applicability in wider tasks.
The AI 2027 authors reference the report apparently as evidence of AI’s successes in self-improvement in “general intelligence”. The report contains no such evidence. So the report is misrepresented by the AI 2027 authors
I did note that the report is not peer reviewed, but I still have no problem treating it as a credible report. Whether it’s peer reviewed or not (it doesn’t matter), it still does not contain what the AI 2027 authors claim/imply it contains (i.e. evidence of AI successes in “Self-improvement for general intelligence”)
I’ll have my full review of AI 2027 finished in a few weeks. It’s clear if you look at the links they provide to “evidence” that they actually have no evidence. They consistently misrepresent research (peer reviewed or not). I showed up here because I also reviewed Yudkowsky and Soares’ book and wanted to talk to the people here about that, but my review wasn’t approved for posting. You can find it in the link at the end of the article above.
I’ll have my full review of AI 2027 finished in a few week. I’ve looked at every link they provide and found that none of the relevant articles linked provide evidence to support the claim that computers will be intelligent
Sure, I’ll have another read over