Metaculus

Karma: 32

Sums and products

Ege Erdil and Metaculus

Mar 27, 2022, 9:57 PM

23 points

11 comments12 min readLW link

(www.metaculus.com)

Phase transitions and AGI

Ege Erdil and Metaculus

Mar 17, 2022, 5:22 PM

45 points

19 comments9 min readLW link

(www.metaculus.com)

Metaculus launches contest for essays with quantitative predictions about AI

Tamay Besiroglu and Metaculus

8 Feb 2022 16:07 UTC

25 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

(www.metaculus.com)

Computability and Complexity

Ege Erdil and Metaculus

5 Feb 2022 14:53 UTC

21 points

5 comments11 min readLW link

(www.metaculus.com)

Equity premium puzzles

Ege Erdil and Metaculus

16 Nov 2021 20:50 UTC

20 points

4 comments12 min readLW link

(www.metaculus.com)

Forecasting progress in language models

Matthew Barnett and Metaculus

28 Oct 2021 20:40 UTC

62 points

6 comments12 min readLW link

(www.metaculus.com)