Futuur predicts a 32% chance that GPT-4 will be released by May 2023 and a ~74% chance that it will be released by the end of 2023 (probability generated in real money).
Lucas L
Karma: 2
You can use Futuur for real-money markets! Btw they are planning to have user-generated markets as well
Cool, prediction markets will be sources of information just like GPT Chat is today! If you want to find real-money markets, you can try Futuur as Manifold only operates with play-money.
Let me know if you have any feedback/suggestions for Futuur as well, we would love to know what you think of the platform!
Futuur is a prediction market with play money and real money options (each option has a different probability of some event occurring). An interesting market launched was which option would be more accurate, and real money won even with fewer bettors.
I believe markets with play money are more likely to be biased as no money is involved, with less skin in the predictions.