Jsevillamol

The most im­por­tant step

Ad­vo­cat­ing for fac­tual ad­vo­cacy

Es­ti­mat­ing the con­se­quences of de­vice de­tec­tion tech

Learn­ing strate­gies and the Poke­mon league parable

EA Tourism: Lon­don, Black­pool and Prague

Stand­ing on a pile of corpses

Map of (old) MIRI’s Re­search Agendas

Im­pli­ca­tions of Quan­tum Com­put­ing for Ar­tifi­cial In­tel­li­gence Align­ment Research

On char­ac­ter­iz­ing heavy-tailedness

[Question] What con­fi­dence in­ter­val should one re­port?

Ag­gre­gat­ing forecasts

Spend twice as much effort ev­ery time you at­tempt to solve a problem

[Question] Cri­tiques of the Agent Foun­da­tions agenda?

Sur­vey on cor­ti­cal unifor­mity—an ex­pert am­plifi­ca­tion exercise

[Question] Pa­ram­e­ter count of ML sys­tems through time?

How to Write Science Fic­tion and Fan­tasy—A Short Summary

Pa­ram­e­ter counts in Ma­chine Learning

Try­ing to ap­prox­i­mate Statis­ti­cal Models as Scor­ing Tables

[Question] Work on Bayesian fit­ting of AI trends of perfor­mance?

Anal­y­sis of World Records in Speedrun­ning [LINKPOST]