I gave the example of insider trading because I think it’s the easiest to imagine. If you get an agent to trade on the market and it does so via gaining data from a company server, then that alone might be enough. Various white collar crimes are quite small in terms of what you actually need to do to commit them.
Fraud is another example that we are seeing already. Because AI hallucinates and makes things up, it’s kind of already vulnerable to fraud scenarios, and in particular misrepresenting the user it works for. So an AI could say their user is a professional (X) when they’re just a student, or something similar. In many jurisdictions claiming a licence you don’t have is already a crime.
So I agree with the previous user that small scale white collar crimes is feasible at a very large scale. The harder question I posed in the post is whether bigger crimes made of many subtasks is possible. I pose it as a provocation, but I’m unsure currently if technical safeguards will be sufficient and simply prevent this. They might, I’m open to that.
I did an interesting project in uni on whether the state can exist without violence. I discovered there are many tribal communities without violence or prisoners. They use public shaming instead. The problem is scaling this to a large enough scale of modern states.
The other problem is sociopaths and psychopaths. It seems clear that at least in the US, some leaders are severed mentally imbalanced, which means they feel no shame. Without shame, public shaming is meaningless.