around age nine
I made a similar decision in my youth. I could not be Sherlock Holmes, I could not be a ninja, I could not be the hero; but I also would not be the dolt to whom Sherlock needs to explains the obvious, I would not be surprised because I didn’t notice important details, I would not plop down helpless waiting for a savior.
bide your time another month while further growing in capability
Couldn’t the AGI get “analysis paralysis”, seeing it’s only at 99.999% certain to persuade the operator and predicting it will be at 99.9991% in a month?
Question is ambiguous:
Why do you think this happens
”This happens” could mean why is the plate different temperatures. Heat conduction is the cause of the change in temperature.
Also, “happens” and “happened” aren’t the same thing.
Happens: why does the plate have different (or changes) temperatures? Heat conduction.
Happened: why is the rad-facing side cooler? I’m trying to trick you.
I’m glad you used the image of water flowing down-stream because water is how I often imagine natural selection.
If you have a small basin and put variously shaped blocks in it, water will fill the gaps between them. It will “adapt to its environment”. Just like animals fills in “niches” in nature, so does the water fill the gaps in the basin.
Someone coming in later and seeing the shapes the water has taken could say “only an intelligent designer could have given the water these shapes” because they failed to see the blocks.
Funny, I work with a very smart 20-something. He’s actually programming LLM solutions.
I tried to talk about the dangers of an ASI and he was basically in the Humman midwit trap.
”I’d just pull the plug”
Yeah, but the ASI would have thought about that and planned ahead an independent power source.
“we could just nuke it” No, it would already be ready for that. By definition an ASI is smarter than anyone and will have already figured out any plan you can come up with.
”yeah, well I never saw a computer that could survive a sledge-hammer.”