GriebelGrutjes

• GriebelGrutjes 15 Apr 2026 10:14 UTC

  3 points

  0

  in reply to: gabrielrecc’s comment on: Day­care illnesses

  Similarly, the abstract notes that children enrolled in childcare before age 12 months had experienced 0.5 − 0.7 more infections than peers enrolled at 3 years, cumulatively, by the time they got to age 6 years. To be sure, that certainly corresponds to more than one actual infection, since “infection” in this paper means an infection serious enough to result in an antimicrobial (usu. an antibiotic) being prescribed, but is not an enormous effect.

  I wonder why you conclude this ‘is not an enormous effect’. Maybe it’s differences in antibiotic usage between countries, and you’re from a country where it’s more common? Because for me it seems like a really big deal to have like 1 in 2 kids needing an extra treatment of antibiotics before they’re 6 years old.

  I think Denmark has lower general usage of antibiotics than the United States for example (I think 70% as much, if I just divide the Defined Daily Dose by the population.) And I guess the gap is bigger for smaller issues, as I expect more critical situations to always result in antibiotics usage whether you’re in the US or Denmark.

  I’m not an expert in this field, nor did I check the statistics carefully, this is mainly based on the feeling I get when foreigners come to the Netherlands (60% DDD per person antibiotics usage compared to Denmark) and complain that they don’t get antibiotics when they get the sniffles.

  https://​​www.pnas.org/​​doi/​​10.1073/​​pnas.2411919121#supplementary-materials

• GriebelGrutjes 15 Apr 2026 9:44 UTC

  1 point

  0

  in reply to: Gunnar_Zarncke’s comment on: Be­ware Nat­u­ral Lan­guage Logic

  Apparently you can select the text, and then add a ‘reaction’, and one of the reactions is ‘this is a typo’. And then a barely visible marker pops up next to the text. Maybe you already know this, but I just figured it out, and there could be other newbies that missed it.

  I’m always scared of pointing out typos, because on LessWrong it feels like everything you say should be super important, so I am very glad the ‘typo’ reaction exists. Although I first need 5 karma, so I am not allowed to point out typos before I post some meaningful stuff.

  Edit: Oh dear, now I read the text again, and it’s really not clear if ‘plause’ is a typo.

• GriebelGrutjes 13 Apr 2026 15:51 UTC

  1 point

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  in reply to: AnthonyC’s comment on: Dario prob­a­bly doesn’t be­lieve in superintelligence

  The laws of physics tell you how things progress, but don’t tell you the starting point. So even if you had the enormous computational power to deduce biology from physics, you would still need to know what a dog is to say something useful about it. So maybe an important question is: would a superintelligence have enough information of earth and its inhabitants so it would not need any more info because it can just reason about it, or would it need to gather more?

• GriebelGrutjes 31 Dec 2024 8:18 UTC

  1 point

  0

  on: Shal­low re­view of tech­ni­cal AI safety, 2024

  We again omit technical governance, AI policy, and activism. This is even more of a omission than it was last year, so see other reviews.

  The link to ‘other reviews’ links to a google doc of this post. I think it should be an internal link to the ‘other reviews’ section.